A college football rivalry returns, while a monster SEC clash awaits within the Swamp. Or no longer it’s one other weekend to wager on college football. Let’s dig in!
Listed below are my four favourite CFB Week 3 bets on the docket, with all odds courtesy of FOX Guess.
This storied rivalry resumes after an 11-year hiatus. Oklahoma is purchasing for its fifth playoff look, while Nebraska head coach Scott Frost is combating for his job.
This one is unassuming for me. I catch the upper coach in Lincoln Riley, and the upper quarterback with Spencer Rattler, against a poorly coached Nebraska squad.
Coach Frost has but to beat a ranked physique of workers because the leader of the Cornhuskers and has finest covered the spread in four of these 12 contests.
Sadly, Nebraska doesn’t salvage a sustainable offense to preserve with Oklahoma. Nebraska has no juice on offense, with quarterback Adrian Martinez finest guiding the physique of workers to 30 points twice in his final 10 begins against FBS opponents. The Huskers finest scored 28 points against Buffalo even after a protracted flee by Martinez, a 68-yard touchdown, and a one-yard flee rating after a turnover.
I don’t predict the Sooners protection to let down its guard once it grabs a lead in this sport, especially after an embarrassing 2nd-half performance against Tulane. The Oklahoma protection can sit down back out and power Nebraska to march down the discipline, which I don’t envision the Cornhuskers being ready to enact.
On offense, Rattler leads the Huge 12 in completion percentage and QB rating. Oklahoma has scored a minimal of 27 points in 65 straight games. The Sooners are a scoring machine. After a 2nd-half performance against Tulane that finest observed three points, they scored 76 against an overmatched Western Carolina squad.
I am no longer obvious what the Cornhuskers can lean on to end this Sooners offense, rather than hoping for turnovers, which is honest no longer an piquant come to handicap a sport. And, in games the put Oklahoma is facing a protection with out a calling card, it ratings a ton of points.
The Sooners roll!
PICK: Oklahoma (-22.5) to take by 23 points or extra at FOX Guess
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BYU will likely be riding excessive after ending its nine-year shedding traipse to Utah within the Holy War this previous weekend. That is precisely why I am going to be having a witness to recede the Cougars in this plot off that emotional take.
Whereas the Cougars deserve credit ranking for that upset, the Utes cost themselves that sport. Utah’s effort stage wasn’t acceptable in that contest, and BYU took relieve. The Cougars finest averaged 4.94 yards per play on offense, and out of 77 offensive plays, they finest had five explosive plays.
BYU ended up with seven complete havoc plays on protection, a metric primitive to study the arrangement disruptive a protection used to be on a explicit play. BYU’s protection this season has been bend or break, and nothing in between. The Cougars are finest allowing a 27% third-down conversion percentage. On the flip aspect, they are allowing 69% of passes to be executed, and are giving up five yards a take care of it up the ground. Something has to give, and this may well exchange this weekend when they face the finest quarterback they’ve viewed up to now.
The Sun Devils have not been world-beaters up to now, however they’ve carried out two powder puff opponents. With the physique of workers’s first genuine check increasing this weekend, I predict them to play their finest sport.
Arizona Teach is led by Jayden Daniels, a dual-risk quarterback who is finishing 73.2% of passes and has 165 rushing yards in two games. The Sun Devils salvage an offensive line that can support him fair against a mean Cougars scoot flee.
Arizona Teach has simplified the playbook on protection, which has resulted in it enjoying sooner, limiting errors, and allowing fewer points against sub-par competitors. All plus points going into this matchup.
Lastly, BYU’s offense is no longer something to write down dwelling about. After a magical season with Zach Wilson on the helm final year, the Cougars salvage executed nothing particular this season. The physique of workers is averaging finest 25 points per sport, and that’s against two Pac-12 defenses.
PICK: Arizona Teach (-3.5) to take by 4 or extra points at FOX Guess
Wagering against Alabama can on the total be a mistake, however if Florida cannot duvet this spread at dwelling, when the heck are the Crimson Tide ever going to play a shut sport?
The Gators salvage been the exhaust of a two-quarterback diagram, however it absolutely’s certain “backup” quarterback Anthony Richardson have to be the man. Richardson is a dynamic player who’s averaging 25 yards per raise this season.
Dual-risk quarterbacks give Slice Saban defenses disorders, as it be stressful to sport belief for plays made exterior the construction of the offense.
Dan Mullen is an innovative offensive ideas, and I personal he’ll originate and plot up ways for Richardson to salvage explosive plays.
Florida comes into this sport ranked third in offensive effectivity and 15th in defensive effectivity. Whereas Alabama’s offense has almost no deficiencies, that is also Bryce Younger’s first staunch street launch. Florida defensive play-caller Todd Grantham will originate some pressures to catch after Younger to compose him dejected early within the game.
The Swamp will likely be loud and roaring, and Mullen has covered five of his final eight games against Saban. I am going with Florida to duvet the principle half. I witness the depth of Alabama overcoming the Gators within the 2nd half.
PICK: Florida (+7.5) 1H point spread at FOX Guess
USC (-8.5) at Washington Teach
I’ve wavered backward and ahead on this sport, as USC’s effectivity numbers are no longer excellent adequate to support them in this plot. Then all another time, the firing of Clay Helton is a gargantuan reason I am supporting the Trojans in this matchup.
With Donte Williams taking on, we are able to witness an impressed USC squad. Williams is a excessive-energy coach, and somebody the players will likely be fired as a lot as play for.
When a coaching exchange is made this early within the season, it sends a message that all people is up for shedding their jobs, and we are able to witness a renewed energy from this Trojans squad.
Talentwise, there may be more fit one player on Washington Teach, their excellent sort out Abraham Lucas, who’d launch on USC. The Trojans are the extra proficient physique of workers, and if they play with extra focal point, energy, and a decided mentality, they can also soundless dominate this sport.
Washington Teach below Slice Rolovich is more fit 1-5 against the spread. Even dating support to coach Mike Leach, the Cougars are 4-14 over their final 18 contests.
Washington Teach had a quarterback competitors within the direction of camp, and after an harm to their starter, final year’s beginning quarterback Jayden De Laura has taken over. De Laura has carried out successfully, however that’s essentially because he confronted Portland Teach. De Laura lost the camp battle because he didn’t flee the offense as prescribed. He’s more fit off script, which is no longer finest long-term.
After USC’s protection used to be embarrassed against Stanford, I predict a jump-support performance by that unit against honest a mediocre Washington Teach offense.
I am no longer fond of the Trojans’ offense, however in difference Cougars’ protection, my hatred of USC’s offense may well no longer topic. Washington Teach’s protection ranks within the 90s in defensive effectivity, and it’s 83rd on third downs. The physique of workers also finest has a entire of two sacks against the likes of Utah Teach and Portland Teach.
USC’s offense will rating points in bunches with out important effort, which is why I cherish the Trojans in this train.
