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Euro zone economy narrowly skirts recession, stagnates in fourth quarter

Cargo trains stand on the railway tracks at a transshipment command in Frankfurt am Major, western Germany, as in background can also be viewed the city’s skyline, on January 23, 2024.

Kirill Kudryavtsev | Afp | Getty Images

The euro zone economy stabilized within the fourth quarter of 2023, flash figures printed by the European Union’s statistics agency showed on Tuesday.

The bloc narrowly evaded the shallow recession that turned into forecast in a Reuters poll of economists, following a 0.1% tumble in GDP within the third quarter.

The euro zone’s seasonally-adjusted GDP turned into flat in contrast with the previous quarter and expanded by 0.1% versus the previous twelve months. In a preliminary estimate, the euro scheme turned into viewed posting 0.5% allege over the total of 2023.

Its biggest economy, Germany, posted a 0.3% contraction within the final quarter of the twelve months, based fully on figures furthermore out on Tuesday. The country narrowly skirted a technical recession resulting from an upwards revision to its reading for the third quarter, when the economy stagnated.

The French economy turned into actual within the fourth quarter, while Spain outperformed forecasts to amplify by 0.6%.

The European Price’s euro zone sentiment indicator within the meantime showed a decline in client self belief — despite the truth that the outlook for businesses in products and providers and industrials turned into just a miniature brighter.

The euro zone economy is in a “a part of extended weak spot” that is being driven by Germany, while southern European economies ready the bottom in allege, Bert Colijn, senior economist at ING, acknowledged in a account for.

“Germany is combating historical world inquire of for items and heavy alternate is tormented by greater energy costs,” he acknowledged.

The euro zone’s divergence from the U.S. is growing, he added, partly explained by a greater decline in inflation-adjusted wages, energy costs hitting industrials, and lower ranges of fiscal pork up.

The euro persisted to log slim losses against the U.S. dollar following the brand new Tuesday data, furthermore posting tight positive aspects against the British pound. The U.S. economy smashed expectations for the end of the twelve months, expanding by 3.3% within the fourth quarter. U.Ok. figures are due out within the center of February.

The European Central Bank has hauled hobby rates to a file excessive over the closing twelve months and a half of, creating tighter monetary prerequisites across the placement which regain helped frosty inflation from a peak of 10.6% in October 2022 to 2.9% in December. The most novel euro zone inflation flash figures are due Thursday.

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