COVID-19

Second Wave Of Covid-19 To Hit India?

Britain’s top medical expert has warned a second wave is a real risk, and Victoria has recorded Australia’s first coronavirus death of the month. The number of new cases of coronavirus continues to rise, with India and the Philippines recording new daily highs of more than 100,000 infections, while officials around the world are considering tough measures to prevent the spread of a pandemic. India recorded the highest number of new cases in a single day since the first wave of CVID 19 in 2019, but the UK’s top medical expert, Dr. Sir Richard Branson, warns that India’s 54,735 recent cases bring the total to 1.75 million, more than double the same period last year, the WHO said. [Sources: 8, 10]

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India, which has a population of almost 1.4 billion, has seen a sharp increase in cases since July, he added, adding: “The Indian government, anticipating the sharp increase in cases and in a gradual manner, has declared a lockout for India to bring the country to a complete standstill. India reported a 19-case spike in July after the closure was eased after hospitals in some of the worst-hit cities were flooded, the WHO said. [Sources: 0, 9, 12]

Other parts of India ordered new closures earlier this week, including the capital, New Delhi, and other major cities such as Mumbai and Delhi. The metropolises make up more than half of the country’s 1.4 billion people, but only a small proportion of them have been identified, according to the WHO. [Sources: 4, 19]

Maharashtra, New Delhi, and Tamil Nadu are the worst affected states, accounting for nearly 60 percent of all cases in the country, according to the WHO. West Bengal, too, is worse than any other Indian state in terms of availability of doctors. With the virus reaching India’s vast hinterland, experts fear hospitals may be overwhelmed. Nearly 600 million Indians live in rural areas, and there is a similar lack of access to health care, especially for children and the elderly. [Sources: 8, 14, 18]

In such a situation, the second wave of COVID 19 spreading to rural India could prove difficult to recover from. To stay ahead of the epidemic curve and prepare for a potential second wave, India needs to plan for future steps on three levels. [Sources: 5, 18]

So far, proactive action by the Indian government has helped effectively delay a flood of cases. India lifted its blockade after the outbreak of COVID 19 in Karnataka state in August last year. It has since extended the lockdown by two weeks, despite growing concerns that the world could experience a second wave of infections if the nation relaxes restrictions too soon. India has extended its blockades for two weeks after fears grew that restrictions would be eased if it Too soon a second wave of infections in India. [Sources: 2, 15, 17]

A second pandemic wave would not necessarily be defined as a country passing through the first wave. To say that a second wave has arrived, there must be a significant decrease in infections, which has not happened. [Sources: 3, 16]

Since India is a large country, made up of several states, many of which are at different stages of the pandemic, with many more cases than the first wave, and many states where pandemics have occurred at different stages, it is very likely that India will see its cases rise slowly and steadily for a very long time, and that it will be on a plateau. If we get to the bottom and have a long plateau before a second wave emerges, we can see that this is happening in India. We have vaccines to deal with this first curve ourselves, “says Dr. K.K. Srivastava, director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. [Sources: 1, 6]

Asked if Delhi is heading for a second wave of coronavirus infections, Jain said: “We can’t say if it’s a first wave or even a third or fourth wave. But we can say that in certain parts of the country we are experiencing a kind of second wave, Dr. Guleriatell tells us. Prof Dr says that in many countries where winter has begun, India is expected to be staring at a “second wave.” [Sources: 7, 11, 17]

Asked if there was a large concentration of COVID 19 cases, he said: “There are so many cases of this epidemic. India has a population of 1.35 billion people, and there are places with international airports, such as Mumbai, New Delhi and Hyderabad. Government expert Randeep Guleria says major cities such as New Delhi and Mumbai may have experienced the first wave of coronavirus infections in recent months. He believes some regions are experiencing a second wave, but there are no reports of major epidemics in places like Delhi, Mumbai or other places that have an international airport, according to the World Health Organization. [Sources: 10, 13, 15, 16]

India should learn lessons from China, where the WHO said the second wave peaked and declined significantly in 2019 and 2020. [Sources: 16] Sources: [0]: https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2020/05/19/the-second-wave-of-covid-19-corona-virus-2-0/ [1]: https://www.news18.com/news/india/as-indias-covid-19-tally-tops-50-lakh-mark-the-curious-case-of-a-2nd-wave-in-the-country-2880683.html [2]: https://www.ecowatch.com/coronavirus-second-wave-2646019222.html [3]: https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/what-does-the-second-wave-of-the-pandemic-mean-for/ [4]: https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2020/07/surges-and-resurgences-push-global-covid-19-total-higher [5]: https://www.natureasia.com/en/nindia/article/10.1038/nindia.2020.80 [6]: https://odishabytes.com/will-india-witness-a-second-wave-of-coronavirus-read-what-experts-say/ [7]: https://www.dnaindia.com/india/report-second-wave-of-covid-19-to-hit-india-warns-niti-aayog-ahead-of-winters-2849619 [8]: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-06-24/coronavirus-update-covid19-britain-second-wave-risk/12386324 [9]: https://internews.org/news/keeping-safe-during-second-covid-19-wave [10]: https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/coronavirus/india-reports-55-000-new-virus-cases-1.5048649 [11]: https://indianexpress.com/article/cities/delhi/cant-call-it-a-second-wave-satyendar-jain-on-covid-19-surge-in-delhi-6581469/ [12]: https://apnews.com/article/virus-outbreak-pandemics-india-archive-fefbdcf72cafd86c34ecb989e70c4c33 [13]: https://www.outlookindia.com/website/story/india-news-covid-19-cases-in-india-likely-to-peak-in-early-july-health-economist-dr-ramanan-laxminarayan/353372 [14]: https://www.abc27.com/news/health/indias-confirmed-coronavirus-cases-cross-7-million/ [15]: https://www.acc.org/latest-in-cardiology/ten-points-to-remember/2020/06/22/14/13/covid-19-pandemic-in-india-is-the-curve-flat [16]: https://www.newsbytesapp.com/timeline/india/66145/311999/coronavirus-has-the-second-wave-started-in-india [17]: https://www.indiatoday.in/news-analysis/story/covid-19-second-wave-india-unlock-healthcare-1719372-2020-09-07 [18]: https://en.gaonconnection.com/why-the-second-wave-of-covid-19-infections-in-certain-states-is-of-serious-concern-for-rural-india/ [19]: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7376361/

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